Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.001225 1.380744e-03 0.001537 0.001706 0.001882 0.002060 0.002252
2025-08-03 0.001004 1.229332e-03 0.001463 0.001722 0.001999 0.002283 0.002598
2025-08-10 0.000770 1.038584e-03 0.001327 0.001656 0.002014 0.002390 0.002812
2025-08-17 0.000607 9.077198e-04 0.001243 0.001633 0.002068 0.002531 0.003056
2025-08-24 0.000437 7.502084e-04 0.001114 0.001551 0.002048 0.002585 0.003202
2025-08-31 0.000335 6.599151e-04 0.001054 0.001539 0.002100 0.002714 0.003424
2025-09-07 0.000266 6.017540e-04 0.001026 0.001560 0.002185 0.002875 0.003680
2025-09-14 0.000185 5.148172e-04 0.000955 0.001524 0.002201 0.002957 0.003844
2025-09-21 0.000142 4.749721e-04 0.000939 0.001551 0.002287 0.003115 0.004092
2025-09-28 0.000118 4.614956e-04 0.000956 0.001616 0.002416 0.003321 0.004391
2025-10-05 0.000080 4.139858e-04 0.000923 0.001616 0.002467 0.003435 0.004587
2025-10-12 0.000057 3.868424e-04 0.000915 0.001646 0.002552 0.003588 0.004824
2025-10-19 0.000032 3.562227e-04 0.000914 0.001705 0.002695 0.003834 0.005199
2025-10-26 0.000006 2.962185e-04 0.000867 0.001702 0.002764 0.003997 0.005484
2025-11-02 NaN 2.097085e-04 0.000766 0.001624 0.002739 0.004050 0.005643
2025-11-09 NaN 1.544035e-04 0.000704 0.001593 0.002771 0.004168 0.005876
2025-11-16 NaN 9.021702e-05 0.000608 0.001508 0.002729 0.004196 0.006004
2025-11-23 NaN 5.854859e-05 0.000564 0.001493 0.002775 0.004328 0.006249
2025-11-30 NaN 4.043298e-05 0.000544 0.001511 0.002862 0.004507 0.006551
2025-12-07 NaN 1.686766e-05 0.000491 0.001474 0.002875 0.004596 0.006743
2025-12-14 NaN 8.652177e-06 0.000479 0.001500 0.002969 0.004782 0.007050
2025-12-21 NaN 6.220120e-06 0.000491 0.001563 0.003113 0.005028 0.007427
2025-12-28 NaN 5.688727e-07 0.000465 0.001564 0.003171 0.005168 0.007677